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	<title>Forex Trading Skill &#187; Forex Trading Strategies</title>
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		<title>Technical Trader&#8217;s Dilemma&#8211;Back Test Or No Back Test</title>
		<link>http://www.forextradingskill.com/technical-traders-dilemma-back-test-or-no-back-test/forex-trading-strategies</link>
		<comments>http://www.forextradingskill.com/technical-traders-dilemma-back-test-or-no-back-test/forex-trading-strategies#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 22:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Forex Trading Strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Back test]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[testing through trading]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[All traders like to test their forex trading strategies before they put them to practice. We prefer to have an idea on the potential success of our approach before we risk real money trading it. Unfortunately, although testing through trading is risky, there is no other way of establishing the reliability of a trading strategy. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img height="355" src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/OX-JWEJksA4/default.jpg" width="425" /></p>
<p>All traders like to test their <a href="http://www.forextraders.com/forex-strategy.html" target="_blank">forex trading strategies</a> before they put them to practice. We prefer to have an idea on the potential success of our approach before we risk real money trading it.</p>
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<p> Unfortunately, although testing through trading is risky, there is no other way of establishing the reliability of a <a href="http://www.forextradingskill.com" target="_blank">trading strategy</a>. And while back-testing is popular, there is no evidence to prove that it actually works, or that the results generated by it have any validity outside of the testing period. In other words, back-testing shows that a trading strategy could have been successful in the past, and says nothing about its future profitability.
<p><img alt="Forex Back-testing" border="0" height="130" hspace="-1" src="http://thumbs.dreamstime.com/thumbimg_24/1128929309l0181A.jpg" vspace="0" width="90" />&nbsp;</p>
<p>The main problem about back-testing is the nature of the forex market. The<a href="http://www.forextradingskill.com"> forex market</a> is chaotic, and not only do the price patterns change all the time, but also the rules and economic dynamics that create them change too. For example, although central bank interventions may create a predictable zigzag pattern for a currency pair at one time in the past, the bank may abandon this policy a while later, creating an entirely different situation for forex strategies. At other times, market action is seemingly random,.and trying to trade it on the basis of an all-knowing strategy is a mistake in itself. In such cases, money management methods, and not technical strategies are of the utmost importance in ensuring successful outcomes in trading.</p>
<p>Back-testing is valid in a environment where at least the rules that create the price trends in the market can be defined with precision, and have a degree of predictability in the long term. This is altogether absent in the forex market. And what to say about the many factors ignored by back-testing by definition? What about power failures, computer crashes, widening spreads, slippage, software problems which are not taken into account in back-testing? A crucial property of trading is that lack of prudence and common sense in a short time can wipe out the gains of weeks, months, and in some cases decades. The false confidence inspired by the faulty method of back-testing only causes traders to relax their risk controls, with disastrous results at times.&nbsp;</p>
<p>So instead of testing your forex strategies in light of historic data, compare <a href="http://www.forextraders.com/forex-broker-reviews.html" target="_blank">forex brokers</a> in light of their past record. Instead of wasting time on back-testing, trade with real money in a real account, but with small sums, and very low leverage, as you gain experience. You can&rsquo;t conquer without fighting, and you can&rsquo;t get rich without trading. And to trade, you need to take risks. Do not expect to avoid the responsibility of risk management by back-testing your strategies. Back-testing is fine as a way of learning, as you practice the various indicators and concepts of trading to gain a better understanding. But it&rsquo;s not a tool of prognostication, and not a way of x-raying the market. Avoid later disappointments by taking precautions now, and building your education on solid foundations.&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Other Relevant Posts:</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://work-from-home.vjad.net/work-from-home/using-a-forex-robot" target="_blank">&nbsp;<strong>Using a Forex Robot </strong></a></p>
<p>The forex market is notoriously volatile. Currency prices fluctuate rapidly and people can lose a lot of money if they&#8217;re not careful about finding and creating a strategy to help minimize losses and find ways to increase profits. Most expert forex traders use proven systems that help &#8230; These systems can generate trade indicators and signals based on historic data and hours worth of back-testing. These programs are usually called forex robots or&#8230;&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.free4dl.com/2009/06/16/forex-strategy-builder/" target="_blank"><strong>Forex Strategy</strong> <strong>Builder</strong> </a></p>
<p>Some reasons could be faulty back test, over-optimization or tricky indicators. Forex Strategy Builder can help you in this situation. It easily recognizes the pitfalls of testing trading systems. It notices all ambiguous bars in the &#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://forex-trding.blogspot.com/2009/07/free-forex-robot-which-is-simple-works.html" target="_blank"><strong>Forex Trading Tips Online </strong></a></p>
<p>Enclosed you will find a free Forex robot which works which is easy to understand and is based on sound logic. Unlike most of the Forex Robots sold online, this one doesn&#8217;t just come with a back test simulation on paper, &#8230; The system has been at the heart of many a successful Forex trading strategy and has been used for over 25 years, to make countless millions. Devised by trading legend Richard Douchian, the system is simple to understand and based on so&#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://bestforexea.com/2009/07/kaizen-kamikazi/" target="_blank"><strong>Best Forex EA&nbsp; Kaizen Kamikazi </strong></a></p>
<p>At the end, he shows you a &#8216;cut off&#8217; backtesting strategy results. It is very questionable if you ask me&hellip; Why? Because of all my back testing I have done, I have never gotten a full red bar on the top right&hellip; Maybe I have been doing my &#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://edsfreedom.blogspot.com/2009/07/backtesting.html" target="_blank"><strong>Speculator Ed&#8217;s Blog: Backtesting </strong></a></p>
<p>It would be nice to back test many years back, especially the tech bubble, but many historical tick data do not go that far back. Another back testing strategy I want to look into is see how historical data from say 2001-2002 reflect on 2003, then 2001-2003 &#8230; Not sure if they offer it for futures contracts but I know for forex data OANDA will provide several years of raw tick data fef for free (on CD by mail). All you have to do is open an account with min &#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://best-forex-expert-advisor.com/general/learn-forex-trading-backtesting-of-expert-advisor-the-right-way" target="_blank"><strong>Learn Forex Trading | Backtesting of Expert Advisor the Right Way &#8230; </strong></a></p>
<p>However you can configure the Strategy Tester to give you the best results as &hellip; See original here: Learn Forex Trading | Backtesting of Expert Advisor the Right Way. If you&#8217;re new here, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed.&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://yourforexchannel.blogspot.com/2009/07/tip-of-day_07.html" target="_blank"><strong>Forex Channel: Tip of the Day </strong></a></p>
<p>When back-tester follows the shortest bar route, it never looks beck. It cannot take into account an order placed at already passed price (Stop Loss). The back-testing result of this method can be sometimes better than the &#8230; You can make Forex Strategy Builder recalculate the current strategy by pressing the &quot;F5&quot; key. Every time the back tester will calculate the strategy using random price-route within the ambiguous bars and the balance c&#8230;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Back+test' rel='tag' target='_self'>Back test</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/back+testing' rel='tag' target='_self'>back testing</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/c' rel='tag' target='_self'>c</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Forex+market' rel='tag' target='_self'>Forex market</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Forex+strategies' rel='tag' target='_self'>Forex strategies</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Forex+trader' rel='tag' target='_self'>Forex trader</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Forex+Trading' rel='tag' target='_self'>Forex Trading</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/forex+trading+skill' rel='tag' target='_self'>forex trading skill</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/Forex+Trading+Strategies' rel='tag' target='_self'>Forex Trading Strategies</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/testing+through+trading' rel='tag' target='_self'>testing through trading</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/trading+strategies' rel='tag' target='_self'>trading strategies</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/trading+strategy' rel='tag' target='_self'>trading strategy</a></p>

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		<title>Fap Turbo Review</title>
		<link>http://www.forextradingskill.com/fap-turbo-review/automated-trading-systems</link>
		<comments>http://www.forextradingskill.com/fap-turbo-review/automated-trading-systems#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2009 22:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Automated Trading Systems]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#160; More On Fap Turbo Fap Turbo is the fastest and best selling product ever in the Forex industry. Why do you think that is? There really could only be one reason for it, and that is that is performs brilliantly. Having an accomplished currency trading system in this industry is a wonderful feeling, since [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/ikyZDSpbFxU/default.jpg" alt="" width="425" height="355" />&nbsp;</p>
<p align="center"><strong><a href="http://forextradingskill.com/skills/ftsftur.php" target="_blank">More On Fap Turbo</a></strong></p>
<p>Fap Turbo is the fastest and best selling product ever in the Forex industry. Why do you think that is? There really could only be one reason for it, and that is that is performs brilliantly. Having an accomplished currency trading system in this industry is a wonderful feeling, since it means you have a proven money maker that is going to considerably increase your income.While some of us might follow the FX markets for intellectual stimulation, I would be willing to gu</p>
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<p> ess that most of us are interested in them due to the financial rewards they are able to provide us. And to maximize your potential of improving your profits in any field, you always want to have the best tools to help you. <img src="http://thumbs.dreamstime.com/thumbimg_309/1220836723c2LcdR.jpg" border="0" alt="Fap Turbo " width="460" height="80" /> Simply stated, I think the Fap Turbo automated system is one of the best. Like most forex robots, FAP Turbo runs on the MetaTrader4 platform which requires Windows 2000, XP or Vista. <strong>Works Best For More Experienced Traders </strong>FAP Turbo is going to work best for the intermediate level trader and upwards. That means that to get the most out of FAP Turbo you will need to have some understanding and experience of forex trading. There are a lot of different settings to select. Of course the truth is that its complexity and number of options is its strength, but if you do not even understand the principles of forex you will have to put in some training time. <strong>Beginners Can Use It, Too </strong>Some reviewers go so far as to say that beginners should not get it. I do not agree with this. I think that if you are a beginner who is willing to learn, then getting FAP Turbo from the beginning may be the best way to go. Sure you will have to put in some work to figure it out, but that is true of forex in general. If FAP Turbo is the best around, then isn&#8217;t it better to learn on the best, rather than messing around with other systems and then trying to switch over later? <strong>Automatically Breaks Down Markets For You</strong> The best devices today and for the foreseeable future, is software that is specifically developed and designed for the task of breaking down the market and identifying profit making prospects. When I first started in the markets, shortly after they were deregulated in 1998, allowing private investors in for the first time, I had to do all my calculations with the help of a calculator or spreadsheet. You really have no idea how lucky you are today, that all of this work is now done for you with a simple flip of a switch. Flip the switch on with Fap Turbo and you start making money, now how great is that. <strong>Automatic Fifteen Minute Trading Results</strong> If you have not had a chance to review Fap Turbo&#8217;s website, I suggest you do it. Because it has something on it I have never seen on any other website, no matter what field it is in. Every fifteen minutes they update their trading results while the markets are open and let you know how you would of done if you were using the system during that time period. I got news for you, they are not doing this because it is not making huge money for its clients. If you&#8217;re in the market for a currency trading system, then you could do a lot worse than <a href="http://forextradingskill.com/skills/ftsftur.php" target="_blank">giving Fap Turbo a chance</a> Published by <a href="http://www.forextradingskill.com">Forex Trading Skill </a><strong>Relevant Posts: </strong><strong><a href="http://gurucrusher.com/forextradingreviews/2009/04/fap-turbo-is-there-an-achilles-heel/" target="_blank">FAP Turbo: Is There An Achilles Heel? </a></strong>I was one of the first to jump aboard the FAP Turbo bandwagon. There were a lot of things I liked about it: there were independent review sites available that provided weekly performance updates;&#8230; <a href="http://myforex-myfuture.blogspot.com/2009/04/fap-turbo.html" target="_blank"><strong>FAP Turbo</strong> </a>One of best Forex Robot Trading systems is FAP Turbo This is the motto of FAP Turbo provider: &quot;Get A Forex Robot That Is Capable Of Doubling Your Money Every Single Month..<a style="font-family: arial; color: #108eed; font-size: 9px" href="http://myforex-myfuture.blogspot.com/2009/04/fap-turbo.html" target="blank">.</a> <a href="http://bestforextradingsoftware.wordpress.com/2009/03/24/fap-turbo-making-use-of-the-breakout-method/" target="_blank"><strong>Fap Turbo&#8211; Making Use of the Breakout Method</strong> </a>Fap Turbo. Making use of the breakout method. March 24, 2009. There are a lot of forex trading strategies hanging around the forex market. However, not all strategies work for the better, and sometime simple strategies works best in <strong>&#8230;</strong> <a href="http://gurucrusher.com/forextradingreviews/2009/04/discover-how-you-can-get-fap-turbo-robot-to-work-for-you/" target="_blank"><strong>Discover How You Can Get Fap Turbo Robot To Work For You</strong> </a>Successful Forex trading is a combination of a simple method and having the right mindset to succeed. Here we will look at the key elements you need to have in your Forex trading strategy to make mone&#8230; <strong><a href="http://dofollowbacklink.blogspot.com/2009/04/fap-turbo-forex-trading-system-is.html" target="_blank">FAP Turbo Forex Trading System </a></strong>FAP Turbo is a relatively new Forex trading system that has been on the market and been available to private investors for less than one year. During that period, it has come out of nowhere, to become the best selling item every that <strong>&#8230;</strong> By: <a href="http://www.articledashboard.com/profile/William-R.-Alheim,-Jr.,-Cpa,-Ma/75735">William R. Alheim, Jr., CPA, MA</a> <a href="http://www.articledashboard.com">Article Directory</a>: http://www.articledashboard.com</p>

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